25 Dic On Confirmation And Rational Betting On Jstor
Content
A 2006 study found that real-money prediction markets were significantly more accurate than play-money prediction markets for non-sports events. Some kinds of prediction markets may create controversial incentives. For example, a market predicting the death of a world leader might be quite useful for those whose activities are strongly related to this leader's policies, but it also might turn into an assassination market.